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	<title>Comments on: War, Perception, and Social History</title>
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	<link>http://www.brettschulte.net/CWBlog/2009/01/15/war-perception-and-social-history/</link>
	<description>Informed Amateurs Blog the American Civil War</description>
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		<title>By: Fred Ray</title>
		<link>http://www.brettschulte.net/CWBlog/2009/01/15/war-perception-and-social-history/comment-page-1/#comment-2211</link>
		<dc:creator>Fred Ray</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 Jan 2009 03:19:33 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Thanks, Jim. All these studies have some common problems:

1) the tendency to conflate correlation with causation

2) confirmation bias

3) failure to consider alternative explanations

Not saying that&#039;s the case here, but it&#039;s easy to &quot;prove&quot; what you go looking for</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks, Jim. All these studies have some common problems:</p>
<p>1) the tendency to conflate correlation with causation</p>
<p>2) confirmation bias</p>
<p>3) failure to consider alternative explanations</p>
<p>Not saying that&#8217;s the case here, but it&#8217;s easy to &#8220;prove&#8221; what you go looking for</p>
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		<title>By: Jim Schmidt</title>
		<link>http://www.brettschulte.net/CWBlog/2009/01/15/war-perception-and-social-history/comment-page-1/#comment-2210</link>
		<dc:creator>Jim Schmidt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Jan 2009 22:05:44 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Good post...I saw the review in the Wall Street Journal and may get a copy as well...the authors used the &quot;Early Indicators&quot; database pioneered by Nobel laureate Robert Fogel...a lot of other folks have used that database for some interesting Civil War-related research...I&#039;ve written columns about it:

http://civilwarmed.blogspot.com/2008/06/medical-departmnet-17-purple-hearts-and.html

http://civilwarmed.blogspot.com/2008/03/medical-department-13-ambulance_10.html

Of course, the danger in relying too much on the database is that it can become a &quot;lies, damn lies, and statistics&quot; exercise...if the authors of Heroes/Cowards really have used other sources - soldier journals, etc. - then it could be a good study and an interesting read.

Keep up the good work.

Jim</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good post&#8230;I saw the review in the Wall Street Journal and may get a copy as well&#8230;the authors used the &#8220;Early Indicators&#8221; database pioneered by Nobel laureate Robert Fogel&#8230;a lot of other folks have used that database for some interesting Civil War-related research&#8230;I&#8217;ve written columns about it:</p>
<p><a href="http://civilwarmed.blogspot.com/2008/06/medical-departmnet-17-purple-hearts-and.html" rel="nofollow">http://civilwarmed.blogspot.com/2008/06/medical-departmnet-17-purple-hearts-and.html</a></p>
<p><a href="http://civilwarmed.blogspot.com/2008/03/medical-department-13-ambulance_10.html" rel="nofollow">http://civilwarmed.blogspot.com/2008/03/medical-department-13-ambulance_10.html</a></p>
<p>Of course, the danger in relying too much on the database is that it can become a &#8220;lies, damn lies, and statistics&#8221; exercise&#8230;if the authors of Heroes/Cowards really have used other sources &#8211; soldier journals, etc. &#8211; then it could be a good study and an interesting read.</p>
<p>Keep up the good work.</p>
<p>Jim</p>
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